Hurricane Nicole to lash Atlantic Canada with gale-force winds
Report from the Toronto Star
October 14, 2016
HALIFAX: Environment Canada (see report below) says Hurricane Nicole will lash the Grand Banks this weekend with gale-force wind and waves, but Atlantic Canada will otherwise be spared the violent storm that pounded Bermuda.
Nicole was about 700 kilometres northeast of the British archipelago Friday morning, and heading out to sea.
“The way she’s tracking now, it will have minimal impact on anywhere here in Atlantic Canada,” Canadian Hurricane Centre meteorologist Bob Robichaud said Friday afternoon.
“It would have to make one drastic move to be anything other than what we have in the forecast.”
The forecaster says ocean swells of 2 to 3 metres can be expected along the south-facing coastlines of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland over the weekend.
But otherwise no “significant effects” are anticipated on land, good news in a region recovering from last weekend’s wallop from a storm fueled by tropical moisture associated with Hurricane Matthew.
“You might notice there is a little bit of swell, but then again you may not. It’s right at the limit of what you’ll be able to see in terms of wave action,” said Robichaud.
The centre says it expects swells of 4 to 6 metres over the southern Grand Banks this weekend.
-- end of the Toronto Star report
Environment Canada: Tropical Cyclone Information Statements
2:41 PM ADT Friday 14 October 2016
Tropical cyclone information statement for:
Newfoundland and Labrador:
Avalon Peninsula North
Avalon Peninsula Southeast
Avalon Peninsula Southwest
St. John's and vicinity
For Hurricane Nicole.
The final information statement will be issued by 9:30 p.m. NDT.
Off-shore impacts from Hurricane Nicole this weekend..Gale-force winds and waves over the Grand Banks.
1. Summary of basic information at 3:30 p.m. NDT.
Location: 36.4 North 57.0 West.
About 1190 kilometres south-southwest of Cape Race.
Maximum sustained winds: 130 kilometres per hour.
Present movement: northeast at 30 kilometres per hour.
Minimum central pressure: 968 millibars.
2. Public weather impacts and warnings summary.
At this time we do not anticipate any effects over land.
No significant wind expected.
No significant rain expected.
Ocean swells of 2 to 3 m can be expected along the south-facing coastlines of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland over the next couple of days.
3. Marine weather impacts and warnings summary.
Gale force winds are forecast over Laurentian Fan and the southern Grand Banks this weekend. Swells of 4 to 6 m are likely over the southern Grand Banks into the new week.
Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada.
For more comprehensive information about track tables and forecast rationale, please see the Technical Discussion.
SATERN Bulletin: Hurricane Nicole
Bill Feist, CEM - WB8BZH - National SATERN Liaison
Hurricane Nicole has once again surprised everyone by exploding into a Category 4 hurricane that is still headed directly for Bermuda (see map below):
Here are some key points about Hurricane Nicole:
1) Hurricane Nicole is now a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 130 mph moving at 15 mph to the NNW with that speed expected to increase over today.
2) Nicole is classified as "an extremely dangerous storm" whose hurricane force winds extend 65 miles from the centre and tropical force winds, which are already impacting Bermuda, extend 175 miles from the centre. A Hurricane WARNING is in effect for Bermuda at this time.
3) The current forecast track for Nicole brings it directly over Bermuda sometime today. This will be the fourth hurricane in three years to strike Bermuda.
4) In addition to the hurricane force winds, primary threats from the storm include:
a) Dangerous storm surge of 6 to 8 feet causing coastal flooding combined with dangerous surf and rip currents.
b) Rain accumulations of 5 to 8 inches.
c) Isolated tornadoes are also possible.
At this time, SATERN does not intend to activate SATERN to a DELTA II (extended monitoring) Status. However, SATERN operators are encouraged to monitor the Hurricane Watch Net (HWN) frequency of 14.325 MHz.(while propagation lasts) and 7.268 MHz (evening / night watch).
Please note that SATERN operators should only monitor HWN. DO NOT CHECK IN.
THE SALVATION ARMY:
Bermuda is in the Canada-Bermuda Territory with Territorial Headquarters in Toronto, Ontario. The Territorial Disaster Coordinator is Perron Goodyear, VE3PSG. Perron has been in contact with the Bermuda Division which is preparing for Nicole's landfall.
HURRICANE WATCH NET:
The Hurricane Watch Net is currently active at a Level 5 (Catastrophic Response Mode). Up-to-date information about the Hurricane Watch Net's status can be found at www.HWN.org.
AMERICAN RADIO RELAY LEAGUE:
There are currently no plans for W1AW or the ARRL to activate in any way for this storm.
INTERNATIONAL AMATEUR RADIO UNION (IARU):
Bermuda is a part of IARU Region 2. They are in Area A: the Emergency Coordinator for Area A is Douglas Mercer, VO1DTM, in Canada.
Finally, please note that these bulletins are being copied to all of our partners including the Hurricane Watch Net (HWN), the American Radio Relay League (ARRL), the International Amateur Radio Union (IARU) Region 2 and to Area A (Canada and Bermuda) of IARU Region 2.
SATERN Net Managers, Yahoo Group Managers, etc., should publish this BULLETIN to their networks.
Additional updates will be issued as warranted by conditions and circumstances.
Sent By: Bill Feist, CEM - WB8BZH - National SATERN Liaison